UPV Digital RepositoryUPV-DRUniversity of the Philippines Visayas
 

UPV Theses and Dissertations

Permanent URI for this communityhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14583/10

Browse

Filters

20172

Settings

Author: search.filters.author.Acebuque, Jason Clement S.

Search Results

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Time series forecasting model of dengue incidence in the Province of Iloilo with meteorological factors as external regressors
    Acebuque, Jason Clement S.; Cuachon, Anna Nicole O.; Deala, Carl Laurence L.; Esmenos, Arian Claudine F.; Galupo, Bealou Patrishe D.; Jubelag, Carmelli S.; Legayada, Precious Jemimah D.; Namuag, Maulene Mae J.; Palmon, Gladys A.; Salvador, June Luis C.; Sampani, Gian Justin P.; Tolentino, Jimel V. (Division of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, University of the Philippines Visayas, 2017-06)
    The province of Iloilo posted the highest increase of dengue cases in the Western Visayas region in 2016, despite the noted 2.2% decrease of clinically confirmed cases nationwide. The province has placed adequate attention on technical elements, specifically on the outbreak preparedness, yet it is important to give additional efforts to strengthen the surveillance and information system in the province. A seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with external regressor (SARIMAX) model was formulated to forecast the future monthly number of dengue cases in Iloilo province using the meteorological parameters as the explanatory variables. It was found that only the rainfall variable significantly affects the number of dengue cases in Iloilo province, hence, the only variable included in the SARIMAX model as the external regressor. The final forecasting model SARIMAX(3,l,l)(l,0,0)12 is capable of representing the number of dengue cases in subsequent months with relative accuracy. The forecasts of dengue incidence from the final model are imperative for assessing future healthcare and public health programs in the province of Iloilo.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Project bakunanays: Bakuna ng kabataan ugaliin nang anak ay 'di sakitin
    Acebuque, Jason Clement S.; Cuachon, Anna Nicole O.; Deala, Cari Laurence L.; Esmenos, Arian Claudine F.; Galupo, Bealou Patrishe D.; Jubelag, Carmelli S.; Legayada, Precious Jemimah D.; Namuag, Maulene Mae J.; Palmon, Gladys A.; Salvador, June Luis C.; Sampani, Gian Justin P.; Tolentino, Jimel V. (Division of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, University of the Philippines Visayas, 2017-06)
    Based on the 2016 accomplishment report of the Iloilo Provincial Health Office (PHO) for School-Based Immunization (SBI), the municipality of Pavia performed 50.9% and 84.4% for Measles-Rubella (MR) and Tetanus-diphtheria (Td), respectively. After reviewing the health record of the Municipal Health Office of Pavia, it was found that Ungka II Elementary School had the least compliance. This project aimed to reduce the high refusal rate in MR and Td vaccines from 32.0% to 0- 10.0% among children in the barangay by the end of the field practice. To attain the goal of the project, the following strategic components were implemented: formation of a core group called ImmuniTeam, age-appropriate health education through Wastong BakUNAWA sessions, and promotive and up-to-date immunization campaigns. In addition, a mobile ImmuniStation was constructed and ImmuniStar charts were utilized during the BAKULILITS sessions with the children. The results of the pre-test showed that the mean percentage scores of the children before the intervention was 65% and after the intervention, post-test scores significantly increased to 82% mean score of the children (p value<0.05; 95% confidence level). The knowledge component of the pre-test and post-test for the parents or guardians resulted in a statistically significant 20% increase, resulting to 84% average mean score from the 64% prior to intervention (p value<0.05; 95% confidence level). The attitudes of the respondents registered a 6% increase, which is not statistically significant, resulting to a change in the mean percentage score from 70% to 76% (p value>0.05; 95% confidence level). The practices of the parents also showed a relative improvement from the pre-test results. Lastly, there was 100% compliance for the upcoming SBI at the end of the project implementation, as indicated in their consent forms. The team, therefore, effectively reduced the refusal rate for both MR and Td vaccines from 32% to 0%.